13:49 Apr. 11, 2016
International monitors report a slight increase in ceasefire violations around the separatist stronghold of Donetsk in eastern Ukraine
The Ukraine war is going into its third year, and leaders in Washington and Kyiv are bracing for the possibility that Russian military brinkmanship may be the new status quo in Eastern Europe.
In Ukraine, some worry the time soon may be ripe for an uptick in the Russian-backed war in the eastern part of the nation.
Warm summer weather and the end of the "mud season"— as waterlogged ground from melting snow and spring rains dries—is historically the time for military offensives in the region, dating from Napoleon's march to Moscow and Hitler's invasion of the Soviet Union.
But modern concerns about a summer offensive have more to do with geopolitics than the weather. Full story