18:11 Aug. 5, 2016
Security and defence secretary reveals two scenarios for Kremlin's aggression against Ukraine
The possibility of Russian army's offence on Ukraine is real, Oleksandr Turchynov, Ukraine's national security and defence secretary, said on Friday during a press conference.
"As for the threat, it is real," he told the journalists.
Turchynov stated apart from the occupation forces in Donbas and Crimea, there is also a large concentration of Russian troops along the whole Ukraine-Russia border. He added Russia has established two army corps on the occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. "It's a tank army, it's a joint army, and this is a very serious danger," Turchynov said.
The national security and defence chief also said Russia could in the nearest future implement one of the two scenarios.
"The first and most dangerous scenario is military, the full-scale military aggression, which now is the most problematic and dangerous for the Kremlin itself," Turchynov said. "The second scenario is the so-called hybrid one, which is most probable for today." According to the secretary, the 'hybrid' scenario includes local military attacks against Ukrainian positions in Donbas and subversive activities on the rest of the country's territory.
According to Turchynov, the issue of other countries providing lethal weapons to Ukraine is "blocked."
"Unfortunately, this does not have any logical explanation, but now, for the war's third year running, we have no military and technical cooperation with our partners in the field of modern lethal weapons," the security and defence chief said. "This question is blocked, you know the point: not to irritate Russia."
Turchynov also underlined the long-term nature of Russian threat for Ukraine.
"The long-term nature of the Russian threat accompanied by the steady increase of instability in Europe and in the world shapes Ukraine's external security environment and determines the closest priority of the national security in our country's policy," Turchynov said.
The Security and Defence Secretary also said in case of grave escalation in the frontline the new mobilisation will be launched immediately. He added by the end of 2016 all soldiers who were mobilised will return home.