15:31 Aug. 11, 2016
What motives hide behind the FSB allegations?
"The Ukrainian conflict may have just gotten more complicated", - writes Stratfor agency. The article analyzes who could benefit from the situation and what consequences it would have. The author assumes that no matter who is correct, the incident could trigger an escalation of the conflict.
"The FSB's announcement coincides with reports of a Russian military buildup in Crimea over the past week. The movement of military hardware has been observed near Russian positions on the northern part of the peninsula and across the Kerch Strait. Ukrainian security officials also noted helicopters and drones flying near and over the border between Crimea and Ukraine, which Kiev interpreted as a possible precursor to Russian military operations in the country. At this point, however, the reason for Russia's increased military activity in Crimea is unclear. The story emerging from Russia about the foiled terrorist plot seems to explain much of the activity observed on and around the border and throughout Crimea. On the other hand, many of the reported military movements could have been part of the preparations for September's Kavkaz-2016 military exercise."
"It is too early to completely dismiss or confirm the FSB account, or any particular elements from it; however, there are a handful of open source materials from the past week that help shed light to help us understand." - argues Medium.com, the media of AtlanticCouncil's Digital Forensic Research Lab. In the very meticulous research of open web sources, authors try to find evidence for the Russian claims.
"Although the Kremlin has repeatedly accused Ukraine of not putting the cease-fire into effect, it was not immediately clear why Mr. Putin had ramped up his message." writes The New York Times
Globalvoices.org also discusses the documents, that appeared online several days ago. Authors wonder why Russian security forces waited for several days before revealing their version of what is going on in Crimea.
The Crimea crisis could be a preparation for another invasion. This is the point discussed in the Guardian.
Meanwhile, The Moscow Times cites Russian media, that suddenly give the incident an unexpected turn: "A "Ukrainian terror plot" foiled by Russian forces on the disputed Crimean peninsula was designed to destroy tourism in the region, Russian media outlets reported today."
Putin raises stakes over alleged Ukrainian terror plot in Crimea - the Guardian
Here is how the situation unfolded Russia allegedly arrests Ukraine Spec Ops who planned terrorist attacks in Crimea (Updates)